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Research Notes

Gender and race in Kamala Harris’s defeat. A cross-state analysis of U.S. 2024 presidential election

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  • Marco Giuliani
Marco Giuliani
University of Milan
“Obmama and Hillary”, Women’s eNews, 5.2.2008, during the primaries which Hillary Clinton ultimately lost to Barack Obama
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36253/qoe-17135

Published 2025-05-19

Keywords

  • US Presidential Election,
  • Gender,
  • Race,
  • Cross-State Analysis

How to Cite

Giuliani, M. (2025). Gender and race in Kamala Harris’s defeat. A cross-state analysis of U.S. 2024 presidential election. Italian Journal of Electoral Studies (IJES), Research Note 6, 1–23, Just Accepted. https://doi.org/10.36253/qoe-17135

Copyright (c) 2025 Marco Giuliani

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Abstract

This research note employs aggregate State level data to analyze the results of the 2024 US presidential election, and to explore the role played by gender and race in Kamala Harris’s defeat. The Democratic party failed to capitalize on the characteristics of its presidential candidate and, compared to Biden’s election, to expand its support in states with larger female and African American electorates, and faced systematic losses in those with more Hispanic voters. This note contributes to a cumulative macro-micro approach to the analysis of election results, and thus to overcoming both ecological and micrological fallacies.

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Supplementary Materials - Just Accepted

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