Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Full Research Articles

Farm characteristics and exogenous factors influencing the choice to buy land in Italy

Silvia Russo
Department of Agricultural and Food Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum, Università di Bologna, Viale Fanin 50, Bologna, 40127, Italy
Meri Raggi
Department of Statistical Sciences “P. Fortunati”, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Via Delle Belle Arti, 41, BO, Bologna, 40126, Italy
Barbara Bimbati
CREA – Research Centre for Agricultural Policies and Bioeconomy, Legnaro (PD), Italy
Andrea Povellato
CREA – Research Centre for Agricultural Policies and Bioeconomy, Legnaro (PD), Italy
Davide Viaggi
Department of Agricultural and Food Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum, Università di Bologna, Viale Fanin 50, Bologna, 40127, Italy

Published 2024-09-09

Keywords

  • agricultural land market,
  • land purchase,
  • probit regression model,
  • investment decision,
  • purchase decision

How to Cite

Russo, S., Raggi, M., Bimbati, B., Povellato, A., & Viaggi, D. (2024). Farm characteristics and exogenous factors influencing the choice to buy land in Italy. Bio-Based and Applied Economics, 14(1), 49–73. https://doi.org/10.36253/bae-15548

Abstract

Access to land is one of the key factors of farm growth. However, related research is characterised by important gaps, in particular, facing the change over time in the nature and role of drivers of the land market. The objective of this paper is to identify the endogenous and exogenous factors that affect the decision to purchase land in Italy between 2013 and 2020. Five probit regression models were implemented to understand the role of a set of different determinants in land investment decision. The results show that factors related to capital in machinery and plant, energy production and the presence of a successor or young farmer are endogenous factors that positively influence the purchase decision. The ratio of rented land to utilised agricultural area and of family work units to total work units are endogenous factors that negatively affect the purchase decision. Exogenous factors related to the cost of capital and inflation rate affect the purchase of land in an opposite way, negatively and positively respectively. The role of Utilised Agricultural Area and Value Added per hectare varies depending on the specialisation considered. The research can support policymakers in designing policies to promote the survival and growth of farms, as well as to facilitate land investment by reducing barriers to land acquisition.

References

  1. Akimowicz, M., M. B. Magrini, A. Ridier, J. E. Bergez, and D. Requier-Desjardins. 2013. ‘What Influences Farm Size Growth? An Illustration in Southwestern France’. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 35(2): 242–269.
  2. Baldoni, Edoardo, and Pavel Ciaian. 2023. ‘The Capitalization of CAP Subsidies into Land Prices in the EU’. Land Use Policy 134: 106900. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106900.
  3. Benjamin, Catherine, and Euan Phimister. 2002. ‘Does Capital Market Structure Affect Farm Investment? A Comparison Using French and British Farm‐Level Panel Data’. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 84(4): 1115–1129. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8276.00372.
  4. Binswanger, H., K. Deininger, and G. Feder. 1995. ‘Agricultural Land Relations in the Developing World’. 75(5): 1242–1248.
  5. Boehlje, Michael. 1992. ‘Alternative Models of Structural Change in Agriculture and Related Industries’. Agribusiness 8(3): 219–231. https://doi.org/10.1002/1520-6297(199205)8:3<219::AID-AGR2720080303>3.0.CO;2-T.
  6. Bradfield, Tracy, Robert Butler, Emma J. Dillon, Thia Hennessy, and Jason Loughrey. 2023. ‘Attachment to Land and Its Downfalls: Can Policy Encourage Land Mobility?’ Journal of Rural Studies 97: 192–201. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.12.014.
  7. Bremmer, J., and Alfons Oude Lansink. 2002. ‘Analysis of Farm Development in Dutch Agriculture and Horticulture’. Wageningen.
  8. Brenes-Muñoz, T., S. Lakner, and B. Brümmer. 2016. ‘What Influences the Growth of Organic Farms? Evidence from a Panel of Organic Farms in Germany’. German Journal of Agricultural Economics 65(1): 1–15.
  9. Centre for European Policy Studies, Johan. 2008. Study on the Functioning of Land Markets in the EU Member States under the Influence of Measures Applied under the Common Agri.
  10. Ciaian, Pavel, D’Artis Kancs, and Johan F. M. Swinnen. 2010. EU Land Markets and the Common Agricultural Policy. Brussels: Centre for European Policy Studies.
  11. Cotteleer, G., C. Gardebroek, and J. Luijt. 2008. ‘Market Power in a GIS-Based Hedonic Price Model of Local Farmland Markets’. Land Economics 84(4): 573–592. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.84.4.573.
  12. Czyzewski, B., G. Przekota, and A. Poczta-Wajda. 2017. ‘The Incidence of Agricultural Policy on the Land Market in Poland: Two-Dimensional and Multilevel Analysis’. Land Use Policy 63: 174–185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.01.016.
  13. De Noni, Ivan, Alessandro Ghidoni, Friederike Menzel, Enno Bahrs, and Stefano Corsi. 2019. ‘Exploring Drivers of Farmland Value and Growth in Italy and Germany at Regional Level’. Aestimum 74: 77-99. https://doi.org/10.13128/aestim-7381.
  14. Elhorst, J. Paul. 1993. ‘The Estimation of Investment Equations at the Farm Level’. European Review of Agricultural Economics 20(2): 167–182. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/20.2.167.
  15. European Commission. Joint Research Centre. 2021. Agricultural Land Market Regulations in the EU Member States. LU: Publications Office.
  16. European Parliament. 2017. State of Play of Farmland Concentration in the EU: How to Facilitate the Access to Land for Farmers.
  17. FADN (2018). Farm Accounting Data Network. An A to Z of methodology. Version 02/07/2018 14:46:12. Available on https://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/rica/pdf/site_en.pdf
  18. Galletto, L. 2018. ‘The Pre-Emption Right in Italian Agriculture: A Preliminary Evaluation of the Direct Farmer-Neighbouring Owner’s Case’. Land Use Policy 72: 46–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.12.026.
  19. Goddard, Ellen, Alfons Weersink, Kevin Chen, and Calum G. Turvey. 1993. ‘Economics of Structural Change in Agriculture’. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne d’agroeconomie 41(4): 475–489. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7976.1993.tb03772.x.
  20. Hallam, Arne. 1991. ‘Economies of Size and Scale in Agriculture: An Interpretive Review of Empirical Measurement’. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 13(1): 155–172. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/1349565.
  21. Harrington, D. H., and R. D. Reinsel. 1995. ‘A Synthesis of Forces Driving Structural Change’. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 43(Special Issue): 3–14.
  22. Huber, R., C. Flury, and R. Finger. 2015. ‘Factors Affecting Farm Growth Intentions of Family Farms in Mountain Regions: Empirical Evidence for Central Switzerland’. Land Use Policy 47: 188–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.04.006.
  23. ISTAT. 2022. 7° Censimento generale dell’agricoltura: primi risultati- meno aziende agricole (ma più grandi) e nuove forme di gestione dei terreni.
  24. Jeong, Hoyeon, Youngjune Kim, and So Yeong Lim. 2022. ‘A Predictive Model for Farmland Purchase/Rent Using Random Forests’. 63(3): 153–168. https://doi.org/doi.org/10.24997/KJAE.2022.63.3.153.
  25. Key, Nigel. 2020. ‘Off-Farm Income, Credit Constraints, and Farm Investment’. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 52(4): 642–663. https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2020.25.
  26. Latruffe, L., and C. Le Mouël. 2009. ‘Capitalization of Government Support in Agricultural Land Prices: What Do We Know?’ Journal of Economic Surveys 23(4): 659–691. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6419.2009.00575.x.
  27. Lawley, C. 2021. ‘COVID-19 and Canadian Farmland Markets in 2020’. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 69(2): 291–298. https://doi.org/10.1111/cjag.12283.
  28. Lefebvre, M., S. Gomez y Paloma, and Davide Viaggi. 2015. ‘EU Farmers’ Intentions to Invest in 2014-2020: Complementarity between Asset Classes’.
  29. Legge 590/1965- Disposizioni per lo sviluppo della proprietà coltivatrice.
  30. Legge 817/1971- Disposizioni per il rifinanziamento delle provvidenze per lo sviluppo della proprietà coltivatrice.
  31. Michalek, J., P. Ciaian, and D. Kancs. 2014. ‘Capitalization of the Single Payment Scheme into Land Value: Generalized Propensity Score Evidence from the European Union’. Land Economics 90(2): 260–289. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.90.2.260.
  32. Neuenfeldt, Sebastian, Alexander Gocht, Thomas Heckelei, and Pavel Ciaian. 2019. ‘Explaining Farm Structural Change in the European Agriculture: A Novel Analytical Framework’. European Review of Agricultural Economics 46(5): 713–768. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jby037.
  33. Nilsen, Øivind Anti, and Fabio Schiantarelli. 2003. ‘Zeros and Lumps in Investment: Empirical Evidence on Irreversibilities and Nonconvexities’. Review of Economics and Statistics 85(4): 1021–1037. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465303772815907.
  34. Oskam, Arie J., Natalia V. Goncharova, and Jos A. A. M. Verstegen. 2009. ‘The Decision to Invest and the Investment Level: An Application to Dutch Glasshouse Horticulture Firms’. 2009 Conference, Beijing, China, August 16-22, 2009.
  35. Oude Lansink, A. G. J. M., J. A. A. M. Verstegen, and J. J. Van Den Hengel. 2001. ‘Investment Decision Making in Dutch Greenhouse Horticulture’. NJAS: Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences 49(4): 357–368. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1573-5214(01)80023-3.
  36. Plogmann, Jana, Oliver Mußhoff, Martin Odening, and Matthias Ritter. 2022. ‘Farm Growth and Land Concentration’. Land Use Policy 115: 106036. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2022.106036.
  37. Schimmenti, Emanuele, Antonio Asciuto, and Santo Mandanici. 2013. ‘Andamento dei valori fondiari in Italia ed in Sicilia’. Andamento dei valori fondiari in Italia ed in Sicilia, June, 63.
  38. Swinnen, Johan, Kristine Van Herck, and Liesbet Vranken. 2016. ‘The Diversity of Land Markets and Regulations in Europe, and (Some of) Its Causes’. The Journal of Development Studies 52(2): 186–205. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2015.1060318.
  39. Szymańska, Elżbieta Jadwiga, Mariusz Dziwulski, and Michał Kruszyński. 2021. ‘Determinants of Fixed Asset Investment in the Polish Farms’. Sustainability 13(24): 13741. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132413741.
  40. Thijssen, Geert. 1996. ‘Farmers’ Investment Behavior: An Empirical Assessment of Two Specifications of Expectations’. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 78(1): 166–174. https://doi.org/10.2307/1243788.
  41. Varacca, Alessandro, Giovanni Guastella, Stefano Pareglio, and Paolo Sckokai. 2022. ‘A Meta-Analysis of the Capitalisation of CAP Direct Payments into Land Prices’. European Review of Agricultural Economics 49(2): 359–382. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbab014.
  42. Weiss, C. R. 1999. ‘Farm Growth and Survival: Econometric Evidence for Individual Farms in Upper Austria’. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 81(1): 103–116. https://doi.org/10.2307/1244454.
  43. Yanore, Lotte, Jaap Sok, and Alfons Oude Lansink. 2024. ‘Farmers’ Perceptions of Obstacles to Business Development’. EuroChoices 23(1): 56–62. https://doi.org/10.1111/1746-692X.12420.
  44. Ziemer, Rod F., and Fred C. White. 1981. ‘A Tobit Model of the Demand for Farmland’. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 13(2): 105–109. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0081305200027345.
  45. Zimmermann, A., T. Heckelei, and I. P. Domínguez. 2009. ‘Modelling Farm Structural Change for Integrated Ex-Ante Assessment: Review of Methods and Determinants’. Environmental Science and Policy 12(5): 601–618. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2009.01.014.